posts_gdocs: 1_S_O04KDyANxCxG5iTZdZaQjItTNldSy61OlIpsK4Fg

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id slug type content published createdAt publishedAt updatedAt publicationContext revisionId breadcrumbs markdown title
1_S_O04KDyANxCxG5iTZdZaQjItTNldSy61OlIpsK4Fg indias-population-growth-will-come-to-an-end article 
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    "body": [
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                            "children": [
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                                    "text": "Note \u2013 This article was first published in January 2019, and was updated in March 2023 with the latest population data.",
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                    "text": "\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014",
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                    "text": "This year, in 2023, India ",
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                },
                {
                    "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+Scenario=Medium&country=CHN~IND",
                    "children": [
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                            "text": "will overtake",
                            "spanType": "span-simple-text"
                        }
                    ],
                    "spanType": "span-link"
                },
                {
                    "text": " China to become the most populous country in the world.",
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            "value": [
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                    "text": "This fact might lead spark fears about \u2018uncontrolled\u2019 or never-ending population growth.",
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                }
            ],
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            "value": [
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                    "text": "While it\u2019s true that India\u2019s population is projected to increase until the 2060s, there is an important piece of evidence tells us that population growth ",
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                },
                {
                    "children": [
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                            "text": "will",
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                    "text": " come to an end: The number of children in India peaked more than a decade ago and is now falling.",
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            "value": [
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                    "text": "The chart here shows India\u2019s population \u2013 split by age groups \u2013 from 1950 onwards, combined with the UN\u2019s medium projection to 2100.",
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                    "text": "The number of children under the age of five (under-5s) ",
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                },
                {
                    "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Under+5+years&Projection+Scenario=Medium&country=~IND",
                    "children": [
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                            "text": "peaked",
                            "spanType": "span-simple-text"
                        }
                    ],
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                },
                {
                    "text": " in 2004; since then the number has been falling. The number of children and adolescents under 15 years old ",
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                },
                {
                    "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Under+15+years&Projection+Scenario=Medium&country=~IND",
                    "children": [
                        {
                            "text": "peaked slightly later",
                            "spanType": "span-simple-text"
                        }
                    ],
                    "spanType": "span-link"
                },
                {
                    "text": ", in 2009, and is now also declining. These are landmark moments in demographic change.",
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                    "text": "India's population will still continue to grow as a result of 'population momentum' \u2013 the effect often referred to by Hans Rosling and ",
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                },
                {
                    "url": "https://www.gapminder.org/",
                    "children": [
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                            "text": "Gapminder",
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                {
                    "text": " as the '",
                    "spanType": "span-simple-text"
                },
                {
                    "url": "https://www.gapminder.org/topics/population/fill-up/",
                    "children": [
                        {
                            "text": "inevitable fill-up",
                            "spanType": "span-simple-text"
                        }
                    ],
                    "spanType": "span-link"
                },
                {
                    "text": "' when young generations grow older.",
                    "spanType": "span-simple-text"
                },
                {
                    "url": "#note-1",
                    "children": [
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                            "children": [
                                {
                                    "text": "1",
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                    "text": "But we can now see an end to population growth: reaching 'peak child' anticipates the later 'peak population'. The number of children has peaked; total population will follow and reach its peak in four decades.",
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                }
            ],
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            "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/historic-and-un-pop-projections-by-age?country=IND",
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    "refs": [
        {
            "type": "text",
            "value": [
                {
                    "text": "UN Population Division (2017).\u00a0The impact of population momentum on future population growth. United Nations Department of Social and Economic Affairs. Available online at:\u00a0",
                    "spanType": "span-simple-text"
                },
                {
                    "url": "https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/publications/Files/PopFacts_2017-4_Population-Momentum.pdf",
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                            "text": "https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/publications/Files/PopFacts_2017-4_Population-Momentum.pdf",
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    "type": "article",
    "title": "India's population growth will come to an end: the number of children has already peaked",
    "authors": [
        "Hannah Ritchie"
    ],
    "excerpt": "The number of children in India peaked in the first decade of the 2000s.",
    "dateline": "January 15, 2019",
    "subtitle": "The number of children in India peaked in the first decade of the 2000s."
}
 1 2023-03-20 10:58:03 2019-01-15 11:00:14 2024-03-18 15:41:59 listed AGbAtPr2D_dBp6gK4l2kA8IdYk-_cFv-y3zwn27ZGJfjHuoZO6tSAsuEf5eUnnR0Lmb-20_xf4Hvdtb_UY4NjA   ##### **_Note – This article was first published in January 2019, and was updated in March 2023 with the latest population data._** ————————————————————————————————————————— This year, in 2023, India [will overtake](https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+Scenario=Medium&country=CHN~IND) China to become the most populous country in the world. This fact might lead spark fears about ‘uncontrolled’ or never-ending population growth. While it’s true that India’s population is projected to increase until the 2060s, there is an important piece of evidence tells us that population growth _will_ come to an end: The number of children in India peaked more than a decade ago and is now falling. The chart here shows India’s population – split by age groups – from 1950 onwards, combined with the UN’s medium projection to 2100. The number of children under the age of five (under-5s) [peaked](https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Under+5+years&Projection+Scenario=Medium&country=~IND) in 2004; since then the number has been falling. The number of children and adolescents under 15 years old [peaked slightly later](https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Under+15+years&Projection+Scenario=Medium&country=~IND), in 2009, and is now also declining. These are landmark moments in demographic change. India's population will still continue to grow as a result of 'population momentum' – the effect often referred to by Hans Rosling and [Gapminder](https://www.gapminder.org/) as the '[inevitable fill-up](https://www.gapminder.org/topics/population/fill-up/)' when young generations grow older.1 But we can now see an end to population growth: reaching 'peak child' anticipates the later 'peak population'. The number of children has peaked; total population will follow and reach its peak in four decades. <Chart url="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/historic-and-un-pop-projections-by-age?country=IND"/> India's population growth will come to an end: the number of children has already peaked

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