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41311 | If the world adopted a plant-based diet we would reduce global agricultural land use from 4 to 1 billion hectares | land-use-diets | post | publish | <!-- wp:html --> <div class="blog-info"> <p>Our World in Data presents the data and research to make progress against the world’s largest problems.<br>This blog post draws on data and research discussed in our entry on <strong><a href="https://ourworldindata.org/environmental-impacts-of-food" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Environmental impacts of food production</a></strong>.</p> </div> <!-- /wp:html --> <!-- wp:owid/summary --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Half of the world’s habitable land is used for agriculture, with most of this used to raise livestock for dairy and meat. Livestock are fed from two sources – lands on which the animals graze and land on which feeding crops, such as soy and cereals, are grown. How much would our agricultural land use decline if the world adopted a plant-based diet?</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Research suggests that if everyone shifted to a plant-based diet we would reduce global land use for agriculture by 75%. This large reduction of agricultural land use would be possible thanks to a reduction in land used for grazing and a smaller need for land to grow crops. The research also shows that cutting out beef and dairy (by substituting chicken, eggs, fish or plant-based food) has a <em>much</em> larger impact than eliminating chicken or fish.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- /wp:owid/summary --> <!-- wp:columns --> <div class="wp-block-columns"><!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>The expansion of land for agriculture is the leading <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/drivers-of-deforestation">driver of deforestation</a> and biodiversity loss.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><a href="https://ourworldindata.org/global-land-for-agriculture">Half</a> of the world’s ice- and desert-free land is used for agriculture. Most of this is for raising livestock – the land requirements of meat and dairy production are equivalent to an area the size of the Americas, spanning all the way from Alaska to Tierra del Fuego.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>The land use of livestock is so large because it takes around 100 times as much land to produce a kilocalorie of beef or lamb versus plant-based alternatives. This is shown in the chart.{ref}This data is based on the global median land use of different food products as presented in Poore and Nemecek (2018). This meta-analysis looked at the environmental impacts of foods covering 38,000 farms in 119 countries. For some foods there is significant variability from the median land use depending on how it is produced. We look at these differences <strong><a href="https://ourworldindata.org/environmental-impacts-of-food#distribution-of-land-use-for-foods">here</a></strong>.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). <a href="https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987">Reducing food’s environmental impacts through producers and consumers</a>. <em>Science</em>, <em>360</em>(6392), 987-992.{/ref} The same is <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-protein-poore">also true for protein</a> – it takes almost 100 times as much land to produce a gram of protein from beef or lamb, versus peas or tofu.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Of course the <em>type</em> of land used to raise cows or sheep is not the same as cropland for cereals, potatoes or beans. Livestock can be raised on pasture grasslands, or on steep hills where it is not possible to grow crops. Two-thirds of pastures are unsuitable for growing crops.{ref}An estimated 65% of land used for grass for grazing cattle is not suitable for growing crops.<br><br>Mottet, A., de Haan, C., Falcucci, A., Tempio, G., Opio, C., & Gerber, P. (2017). <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211912416300013">Livestock: on our plates or eating at our table? A new analysis of the feed/food debate</a>. <em>Global Food Security</em>, <em>14</em>, 1-8.<br><br>Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). <a href="https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987">Reducing food’s environmental impacts through producers and consumers</a>. <em>Science</em>, <em>360</em>(6392), 987-992.{/ref} </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>This raises the question of whether we could, or should, stop using it for agriculture at all. We could let natural vegetation and ecosystems return to these lands, with large benefits for biodiversity and carbon sequestration.{ref}Hayek, M. N., Harwatt, H., Ripple, W. J., & Mueller, N. D. (2020). <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00603-4">The carbon opportunity cost of animal-sourced food production on land</a>. <em>Nature Sustainability</em>, 1-4.{/ref} In an upcoming article we will look at the carbon opportunity costs of using land for agriculture.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>One concern is whether we would be able to grow enough food for everyone on the cropland that is left. The research suggests that it’s possible to feed everyone in the world a nutritious diet on existing croplands, but only if we saw a widespread shift towards plant-based diets.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --></div> <!-- /wp:column --> <!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:html --> <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-kcal-poore" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> <!-- /wp:html --> <!-- wp:heading {"level":5} --> <h5>Related charts:</h5> <!-- /wp:heading --> <!-- wp:owid/prominent-link {"title":"Land use of foods \u003cem\u003eper\u003c/em\u003e \u003cem\u003e100 grams of protein\u003c/em\u003e","linkUrl":"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-protein-poore","className":"is-style-thin"} /--> <!-- wp:owid/prominent-link {"title":"Land use of foods \u003cem\u003eper\u003c/em\u003e \u003cem\u003ekilogram\u003c/em\u003e","linkUrl":"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-per-kg-poore","className":"is-style-thin"} /--></div> <!-- /wp:column --></div> <!-- /wp:columns --> <!-- wp:heading {"level":3} --> <h3>More plant-based diets tend to need less cropland</h3> <!-- /wp:heading --> <!-- wp:columns --> <div class="wp-block-columns"><!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>If we would shift towards a more plant-based diet we don’t only need less agricultural land overall, we also need less <em>cropland</em>. This might go against our intuition: if we substitute beans, peas, tofu and cereals for meat and dairy, surely we would need more cropland to grow them?</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Let’s look at why this is not the case. In the chart here we see the amount of agricultural land the world would need to provide food for everyone. This comes from the work of Joseph Poore and Thomas Nemecek, the largest meta-analysis of global food systems to date.{ref}Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). <a href="https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987">Reducing food’s environmental impacts through producers and consumers</a>. <em>Science</em>, <em>360</em>(6392), 987-992.{/ref} The top bar shows the current land use based on the global average diet in 2010. </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>As we see, almost three-quarters of this land is used as pasture, the remaining quarter is cropland.{ref}Note that this breakdown of agricultural land use differs slightly from the breakdown of global land use from the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) for a few reasons. First, this view only includes cropland and pasture used to produce food. Allocation of crops towards industrial uses e.g. biofuels is not included. In UN FAO breakdowns, it is included. Secondly, the amount of land that qualifies as ‘pasture’ depends on definitions surrounding livestock density and other aspects of land management. The extent of ‘rangelands’ – land used to raise livestock but at a relatively low density – can vary from study-to-study. So, while the UN FAO data suggests 50% of habitable land is used for agriculture, Poore and Nemecek (2018) put this figure at 43%.{/ref} If we combine pastures and cropland for animal feed, around 80% of all agricultural land is used for meat and dairy production.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>This has a large impact on how land requirements change as we shift towards a more plant-based diet. If the world population ate less meat and dairy we would be eating more crops. The consequence – as the following bar chart shows – would be that the ‘human food’ component of cropland would increase while the land area used for animal feed would shrink.{ref}This data is sourced from the meta-analysis study by Joseph Poore and Thomas Nemecek (2018), published in <em>Science</em>. Many other studies have looked at this question and found exactly the same result: that if everyone shifted to a vegan diet, we would need <em>less</em> agricultural land (and cropland) specifically.<br><br>Hayek, M. N., Harwatt, H., Ripple, W. J., & Mueller, N. D. (2020). <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00603-4">The carbon opportunity cost of animal-sourced food production on land</a>. <em>Nature Sustainability</em>, 1-4.<br><br>Searchinger, T. D., Wirsenius, S., Beringer, T., & Dumas, P. (2018). <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0757-z">Assessing the efficiency of changes in land use for mitigating climate change</a>. <em>Nature</em>, <em>564</em>(7735), 249-253.{/ref}</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>In the hypothetical scenario in which the entire world adopted a vegan diet the researchers estimate that our total agricultural land use would shrink from 4.1 billion hectares to 1 billion hectares. A reduction of 75%. That’s equal to an area the size of North America and Brazil combined.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>But importantly large land use reductions would be possible even without a fully vegan diet. Cutting out beef, mutton and dairy makes the biggest difference to agricultural land use as it would free up the land that is used for pastures. But it’s not just pasture; it also reduces the amount of cropland we need.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>This is an important insight from this research: cutting out beef and dairy (by substituting chicken, eggs, fish or plant-based food) has a <em>much</em> larger impact than eliminating chicken or fish.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --></div> <!-- /wp:column --> <!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:image {"id":41314,"sizeSlug":"full","linkDestination":"none"} --> <figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img src="https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek.png" alt="" class="wp-image-41314"/></figure> <!-- /wp:image --></div> <!-- /wp:column --></div> <!-- /wp:columns --> <!-- wp:heading {"level":3} --> <h3>Less than half of the world’s cereals are fed directly to humans</h3> <!-- /wp:heading --> <!-- wp:columns {"className":"is-style-side-by-side"} --> <div class="wp-block-columns is-style-side-by-side"><!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>How is it possible that producing <em>more</em> crops for human consumption needs <em>less</em> cropland? The answer becomes clear when we step back and look at the bigger picture of how much crop we actually produce, and how this is used.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>In the chart we see the breakdown of what the world’s cereals are used for. This is split into three categories: direct human food (the rice, oats, wheat, bread etc. that we eat); animal feed; and industrial uses (which is mainly biofuels). </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Less than half – only 48% – of the world’s cereals are eaten by humans. 41% is used for animal feed, and 11% for biofuels. </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>In many countries, the share that is for human consumption is even smaller. We see this in the map. In most countries across Europe it’s less than one-third of cereal production is used for human consumption, and in the US only 10% is.{ref}There is a strong rich-poor <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cereals-human-food-vs-gdp">split across countries</a>: people in poorer countries <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-of-energy-from-cereals-roots-and-tubers-vs-gdp-per-capita">get most of their calories</a> from cereals as they cannot afford much meat and dairy. This means they cannot afford to divert cereals towards livestock or biofuels. In India, 93% of cereals are consumed by humans; 95% in Kenya; and 96% in Botswana.{/ref}</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>It’s not just cereals that are diverted towards animal feed and biofuels. It’s also true of many oilcrops. As we look at in more detail <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/soy#more-than-three-quarters-of-global-soy-is-fed-to-animals"><strong>here</strong></a>, only 7% of soy goes towards human foods such as tofu, tempeh, soy milk and other substitute products. Most of the rest goes towards oil production which is split between soybean meal for animal feed and soybean oil. These are co-products, although by economic value, animal feed dominates.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --></div> <!-- /wp:column --> <!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"></div> <!-- /wp:column --></div> <!-- /wp:columns --> <!-- wp:columns {"className":"is-style-side-by-side"} --> <div class="wp-block-columns is-style-side-by-side"><!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:html --> <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cereal-distribution-to-uses?tab=chart&stackMode=relative&region=World" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> <!-- /wp:html --></div> <!-- /wp:column --> <!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:html --> <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereal-human-food?stackMode=absolute&region=World" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> <!-- /wp:html --> <!-- wp:heading {"level":5} --> <h5>Related charts:</h5> <!-- /wp:heading --> <!-- wp:owid/prominent-link {"title":"Share of cereals allocated to animal feed","linkUrl":"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereals-animal-feed","className":"is-style-thin"} /--> <!-- wp:owid/prominent-link {"title":"Share of cereals allocated to industrial uses (e.g. biofuels)","linkUrl":"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereals-industrial-uses","className":"is-style-thin"} /--></div> <!-- /wp:column --></div> <!-- /wp:columns --> <!-- wp:heading {"level":3} --> <h3>Livestock waste a lot of energy and protein, but do produce more nutrient-dense protein sources</h3> <!-- /wp:heading --> <!-- wp:columns {"className":"is-style-side-by-side"} --> <div class="wp-block-columns is-style-side-by-side"><!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Cereals fed to animals are not wasted: they are converted to meat and dairy, and consumed by humans in the end. But, in terms of calories and <em>total</em> protein, this process is very inefficient. [<em>What’s true is that animals do produce high-quality, micronutrient-rich protein – see the box on this below</em>].{ref}Tilman, D., & Clark, M. (2014). <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/nature13959">Global diets link environmental sustainability and human health</a>. <em>Nature</em>, <em>515</em>(7528), 518-522.<br><br>Shepon, A., Eshel, G., Noor, E., & Milo, R. (2016). <a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/105002">Energy and protein feed-to-food conversion efficiencies in the US and potential food security gains from dietary changes</a>. <em>Environmental Research Letters</em>, <em>11</em>(10), 105002.{/ref} When you feed an animal, not all of this energy goes into producing additional meat, milk or eggs. Most is used to simply keep the animal alive. This is exactly the same for us: most of the calories we eat are used to keep us alive and maintain our body weight. It’s only when we eat in excess that we gain weight. </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>In the charts here we see the energy and protein efficiency of different animal products.{ref}This is shown as the average conversion efficiency. It can vary a bit depending on the breed of livestock, what they’re fed, and how they’re managed. But the overall magnitudes are similar.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Alexander, P., Brown, C., Arneth, A., Finnigan, J., & Rounsevell, M. D. (2016). <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016302370">Human appropriation of land for food: The role of diet</a>. <em>Global Environmental Change</em>, <em>41</em>, 88-98.{/ref} This tells us what percentage of the calories or grams of protein that we feed livestock are later available to consume as meat and dairy. As an example: beef has an energy efficiency of about 2%. This means that for every 100 kilocalories you feed a cow, you only get 2 kilocalories of beef back. In general we see that cows are the least efficient, followed by lamb, pigs then poultry. As a rule of thumb: smaller animals are more efficient. That’s why chicken and fish tend to have a lower environmental impact.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>This is why eating less meat would mean eliminating large losses of calories and thereby reduce the amount of farmland we need. This would free up billions of hectares for natural vegetation, forests and ecosystems to return.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --></div> <!-- /wp:column --> <!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"></div> <!-- /wp:column --></div> <!-- /wp:columns --> <!-- wp:columns {"className":"is-style-side-by-side"} --> <div class="wp-block-columns is-style-side-by-side"><!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:html --> <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/energy-efficiency-of-meat-and-dairy-production" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> <!-- /wp:html --></div> <!-- /wp:column --> <!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:html --> <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/protein-efficiency-of-meat-and-dairy-production?country=Whole%20Milk~Lamb%2Fmutton~Beef~Poultry~Pork~Eggs" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> <!-- /wp:html --></div> <!-- /wp:column --></div> <!-- /wp:columns --> <!-- wp:owid/additional-information --> <!-- wp:heading {"level":3} --> <h3><strong>Livestock convert feed to high-quality, micronutrient-rich protein</strong></h3> <!-- /wp:heading --> <!-- wp:columns {"className":"is-style-sticky-right"} --> <div class="wp-block-columns is-style-sticky-right"><!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>As we’ve seen above, animals lose a lot of energy and total protein when converting this to meat and dairy products.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>But we also need to consider protein <em>quality</em> and provision of micronutrients – essential vitamins and minerals we need to function well. Some, but not all, plant-based products contain high-quality protein. Legumes, such as beans, peas, tofu and other soy products do. Cereals, on their own, don’t – although a complete protein profile can be achieved when mixing them with legumes in your diet.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Cereals are great at providing energy, and some protein but they’re missing many essential elements. They are a low-quality protein source. Protein is made up of building blocks called ‘amino acids’ – we need to make sure we’re getting enough of each of these individual amino acids.{ref}World Health Organization, & United Nations University. (2007). <a href="https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/43411/WHO_TRS_935_eng.pdf?ua=1"><em>Protein and amino acid requirements in human nutrition</em> (Vol. 935)</a>. World Health Organization.{/ref} Cereals have an ‘incomplete’ amino acid profile meaning they are lacking in some of them.{ref}One way of comparing the <em>quality</em> of different protein sources is using their Protein Digestibility-Corrected Amino Acid Score (PDCAAS). This score looks not only at the total protein they provide but also digestibility, and whether there are particular deficiencies of specific amino acids. Cereals in particular are often limited in the amino acid, lysine. This gives them a low PDCAAS score of 42, compared to beef which achieves 92.<br><br>Schaafsma, G. (2000). <a href="https://academic.oup.com/jn/article/130/7/1865S/4686203">The protein digestibility–corrected amino acid score</a>. <em>The Journal of Nutrition</em>, <em>130</em>(7), 1865S-1867S.<br><br>Young, V. R., & Pellett, P. L. (1994). <a href="https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/8172124/">Plant proteins in relation to human protein and amino acid nutrition</a>. <em>The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition</em>, <em>59</em>(5), 1203S-1212S.{/ref} Cereals also lack a number of important micronutrients, such as calcium, iron and B-vitamins. In fact, vitamin B<sub>12</sub> is one that you can only get from animal products, or from food supplements.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Individual animal products – meat, dairy, fish, eggs – do have a complete amino acid profile. Animals are effective in taking energy-dense but low-quality protein cereals, and converting them into high-quality protein sources. The downside is that they waste a lot of energy and total protein in the process.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>The key point is that in switching to a vegan diet we cannot simply divert cereals from animal feed to human food. For proper nutrition, we will have to change the types of crops we grow. Not all crops provide low-quality protein – legumes such as peas, beans, lentils and products such as tofu have a good amino acid profile; when mixed with cereals in a person’s diet, it’s possible to get the full range of essential elements.{ref}As we noted earlier, protein quality can be scored in terms of its Protein Digestibility-Corrected Amino Acid Score (PDCAAS). Soy achieves a PDCAAS of 0.92, comparable to beef at 0.94.<br><br>Schaafsma, G. (2000). <a href="https://academic.oup.com/jn/article/130/7/1865S/4686203">The protein digestibility–corrected amino acid score</a>. <em>The Journal of Nutrition</em>, <em>130</em>(7), 1865S-1867S.{/ref}</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>There is also a lot of potential to mimic the animal conversion process in the lab – either through lab-grown meat or fermentation processes that make meat substitutes. These would allow us to reap the benefits of converting carbohydrates and sugars into high-quality protein without all of the waste that comes with it.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --></div> <!-- /wp:column --> <!-- wp:column --> <div class="wp-block-column"><!-- wp:html /--></div> <!-- /wp:column --></div> <!-- /wp:columns --> <!-- /wp:owid/additional-information --> <!-- wp:separator --> <hr class="wp-block-separator"/> <!-- /wp:separator --> <!-- wp:heading {"level":4} --> <h4><em>More of our articles on this topic...</em></h4> <!-- /wp:heading --> <!-- wp:owid/prominent-link {"title":"Food production is responsible for one-quarter of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions","linkUrl":"https://ourworldindata.org/food-ghg-emissions","mediaId":28080,"mediaUrl":"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/11/How-much-of-GHGs-come-from-food.png","mediaAlt":"","className":"is-style-thin"} /--> <!-- wp:owid/prominent-link {"title":"You want to reduce the carbon footprint of your food? Focus on what you eat, not whether your food is local","linkUrl":"https://ourworldindata.org/food-choice-vs-eating-local","mediaId":29928,"mediaUrl":"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Environmental-impact-of-food-by-life-cycle-stage.png","mediaAlt":"","className":"is-style-thin"} /--> <!-- wp:owid/prominent-link {"title":"How does the carbon footprint of foods compare across the world?","linkUrl":"https://ourworldindata.org/less-meat-or-sustainable-meat","mediaId":29926,"mediaUrl":"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Carbon-footprint-of-protein-foods-2.png","mediaAlt":"","className":"is-style-thin"} /--> | { "id": "wp-41311", "slug": "land-use-diets", "content": { "toc": [], "body": [ { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Our World in Data presents the data and research to make progress against the world\u2019s largest problems.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "text": "This blog post draws on data and research discussed in our entry on ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/environmental-impacts-of-food", "children": [ { "text": "Environmental impacts of food production", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" } ], "spanType": "span-bold" }, { "text": ".", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "text": [ { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Half of the world\u2019s habitable land is used for agriculture, with most of this used to raise livestock for dairy and meat. Livestock are fed from two sources \u2013 lands on which the animals graze and land on which feeding crops, such as soy and cereals, are grown. How much would our agricultural land use decline if the world adopted a plant-based diet?", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Research suggests that if everyone shifted to a plant-based diet we would reduce global land use for agriculture by 75%. This large reduction of agricultural land use would be possible thanks to a reduction in land used for grazing and a smaller need for land to grow crops. The research also shows that cutting out beef and dairy (by substituting chicken, eggs, fish or plant-based food) has a ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "much", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": " larger impact than eliminating chicken or fish.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] } ], "type": "callout", "title": "Summary", "parseErrors": [] }, { "left": [ { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "The expansion of land for agriculture is the leading ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/drivers-of-deforestation", "children": [ { "text": "driver of deforestation", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": " and biodiversity loss.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/global-land-for-agriculture", "children": [ { "text": "Half", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": " of the world\u2019s ice- and desert-free land is used for agriculture. Most of this is for raising livestock \u2013 the land requirements of meat and dairy production are equivalent to an area the size of the Americas, spanning all the way from Alaska to Tierra del Fuego.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "The land use of livestock is so large because it takes around 100 times as much land to produce a kilocalorie of beef or lamb versus plant-based alternatives. This is shown in the chart.{ref}This data is based on the global median land use of different food products as presented in Poore and Nemecek (2018). This meta-analysis looked at the environmental impacts of foods covering 38,000 farms in 119 countries. For some foods there is significant variability from the median land use depending on how it is produced. We look at these differences ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/environmental-impacts-of-food#distribution-of-land-use-for-foods", "children": [ { "text": "here", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" } ], "spanType": "span-bold" }, { "text": ".", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987", "children": [ { "text": "Reducing food\u2019s environmental impacts through producers and consumers", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Science", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "360", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": "(6392), 987-992.{/ref}\u00a0 The same is ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-protein-poore", "children": [ { "text": "also true for protein", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": " \u2013 it takes almost 100 times as much land to produce a gram of protein from beef or lamb, versus peas or tofu.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Of course the ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "type", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": " of land used to raise cows or sheep is not the same as cropland for cereals, potatoes or beans. Livestock can be raised on pasture grasslands, or on steep hills where it is not possible to grow crops. Two-thirds of pastures are unsuitable for growing crops.{ref}An estimated 65% of land used for grass for grazing cattle is not suitable for growing crops.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "text": "Mottet, A., de Haan, C., Falcucci, A., Tempio, G., Opio, C., & Gerber, P. (2017). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211912416300013", "children": [ { "text": "Livestock: on our plates or eating at our table? A new analysis of the feed/food debate", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Global Food Security", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "14", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", 1-8.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "text": "Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987", "children": [ { "text": "Reducing food\u2019s environmental impacts through producers and consumers", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Science", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "360", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": "(6392), 987-992.{/ref}\u00a0", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "This raises the question of whether we could, or should, stop using it for agriculture at all. We could let natural vegetation and ecosystems return to these lands, with large benefits for biodiversity and carbon sequestration.{ref}Hayek, M. N., Harwatt, H., Ripple, W. J., & Mueller, N. D. (2020). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00603-4", "children": [ { "text": "The carbon opportunity cost of animal-sourced food production on land", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Nature Sustainability", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", 1-4.{/ref} In an upcoming article we will look at the carbon opportunity costs of using land for agriculture.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "One concern is whether we would be able to grow enough food for everyone on the cropland that is left. The research suggests that it\u2019s possible to feed everyone in the world a nutritious diet on existing croplands, but only if we saw a widespread shift towards plant-based diets.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] } ], "type": "sticky-right", "right": [ { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-kcal-poore", "type": "chart", "parseErrors": [] }, { "text": [ { "text": "Related charts:", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "type": "heading", "level": 5, "parseErrors": [] }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-protein-poore", "type": "prominent-link", "title": "Land use of foods <em>per</em> <em>100 grams of protein</em>", "description": "", "parseErrors": [] }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-per-kg-poore", "type": "prominent-link", "title": "Land use of foods <em>per</em> <em>kilogram</em>", "description": "", "parseErrors": [] } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "text": [ { "text": "More plant-based diets tend to need less cropland", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "type": "heading", "level": 2, "parseErrors": [] }, { "left": [ { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "If we would shift towards a more plant-based diet we don\u2019t only need less agricultural land overall, we also need less ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "cropland", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ". This might go against our intuition: if we substitute beans, peas, tofu and cereals for meat and dairy, surely we would need more cropland to grow them?", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Let\u2019s look at why this is not the case. In the chart here we see the amount of agricultural land the world would need to provide food for everyone. This comes from the work of Joseph Poore and Thomas Nemecek, the largest meta-analysis of global food systems to date.{ref}Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987", "children": [ { "text": "Reducing food\u2019s environmental impacts through producers and consumers", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Science", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "360", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": "(6392), 987-992.{/ref} The top bar shows the current land use based on the global average diet in 2010.\u00a0", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "As we see, almost three-quarters of this land is used as pasture, the remaining quarter is cropland.{ref}Note that this breakdown of agricultural land use differs slightly from the breakdown of global land use from the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) for a few reasons. First, this view only includes cropland and pasture used to produce food. Allocation of crops towards industrial uses e.g. biofuels is not included. In UN FAO breakdowns, it is included. Secondly, the amount of land that qualifies as \u2018pasture\u2019 depends on definitions surrounding livestock density and other aspects of land management. The extent of \u2018rangelands\u2019 \u2013 land used to raise livestock but at a relatively low density \u2013 can vary from study-to-study. So, while the UN FAO data suggests 50% of habitable land is used for agriculture, Poore and Nemecek (2018) put this figure at 43%.{/ref} If we combine pastures and cropland for animal feed, around 80% of all agricultural land is used for meat and dairy production.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "This has a large impact on how land requirements change as we shift towards a more plant-based diet. If the world population ate less meat and dairy we would be eating more crops. The consequence \u2013 as the following bar chart shows \u2013 would be that the \u2018human food\u2019 component of cropland would increase while the land area used for animal feed would shrink.{ref}This data is sourced from the meta-analysis study by Joseph Poore and Thomas Nemecek (2018), published in ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Science", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ". Many other studies have looked at this question and found exactly the same result: that if everyone shifted to a vegan diet, we would need ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "less", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": " agricultural land (and cropland) specifically.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "text": "Hayek, M. N., Harwatt, H., Ripple, W. J., & Mueller, N. D. (2020). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00603-4", "children": [ { "text": "The carbon opportunity cost of animal-sourced food production on land", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Nature Sustainability", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", 1-4.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "text": "Searchinger, T. D., Wirsenius, S., Beringer, T., & Dumas, P. (2018). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0757-z", "children": [ { "text": "Assessing the efficiency of changes in land use for mitigating climate change", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Nature", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "564", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": "(7735), 249-253.{/ref}", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "In the hypothetical scenario in which the entire world adopted a vegan diet the researchers estimate that our total agricultural land use would shrink from 4.1 billion hectares to 1 billion hectares. A reduction of 75%. That\u2019s equal to an area the size of North America and Brazil combined.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "But importantly large land use reductions would be possible even without a fully vegan diet. Cutting out beef, mutton and dairy makes the biggest difference to agricultural land use as it would free up the land that is used for pastures. But it\u2019s not just pasture; it also reduces the amount of cropland we need.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "This is an important insight from this research: cutting out beef and dairy (by substituting chicken, eggs, fish or plant-based food) has a ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "much", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": " larger impact than eliminating chicken or fish.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] } ], "type": "sticky-right", "right": [ { "alt": "", "size": "wide", "type": "image", "filename": "Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek.png", "parseErrors": [] } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "text": [ { "text": "Less than half of the world\u2019s cereals are fed directly to humans", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "type": "heading", "level": 2, "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "How is it possible that producing ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "more", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": " crops for human consumption needs ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "less", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": " cropland? The answer becomes clear when we step back and look at the bigger picture of how much crop we actually produce, and how this is used.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "In the chart we see the breakdown of what the world\u2019s cereals are used for. This is split into three categories: direct human food (the rice, oats, wheat, bread etc. that we eat); animal feed; and industrial uses (which is mainly biofuels).\u00a0", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Less than half \u2013 only 48% \u2013 of the world\u2019s cereals are eaten by humans. 41% is used for animal feed, and 11% for biofuels.\u00a0", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "In many countries, the share that is for human consumption is even smaller. We see this in the map. In most countries across Europe it\u2019s less than one-third of cereal production is used for human consumption, and in the US only 10% is.{ref}There is a strong rich-poor ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cereals-human-food-vs-gdp", "children": [ { "text": "split across countries", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ": people in poorer countries ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-of-energy-from-cereals-roots-and-tubers-vs-gdp-per-capita", "children": [ { "text": "get most of their calories", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": " from cereals as they cannot afford much meat and dairy. This means they cannot afford to divert cereals towards livestock or biofuels. In India, 93% of cereals are consumed by humans; 95% in Kenya; and 96% in Botswana.{/ref}", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "It\u2019s not just cereals that are diverted towards animal feed and biofuels. It\u2019s also true of many oilcrops. As we look at in more detail ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/soy#more-than-three-quarters-of-global-soy-is-fed-to-animals", "children": [ { "children": [ { "text": "here", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-bold" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ", only 7% of soy goes towards human foods such as tofu, tempeh, soy milk and other substitute products. Most of the rest goes towards oil production which is split between soybean meal for animal feed and soybean oil. These are co-products, although by economic value, animal feed dominates.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "left": [ { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cereal-distribution-to-uses?tab=chart&stackMode=relative®ion=World", "type": "chart", "parseErrors": [] } ], "type": "sticky-right", "right": [ { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereal-human-food?stackMode=absolute®ion=World", "type": "chart", "parseErrors": [] }, { "text": [ { "text": "Related charts:", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "type": "heading", "level": 5, "parseErrors": [] }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereals-animal-feed", "type": "prominent-link", "title": "Share of cereals allocated to animal feed", "description": "", "parseErrors": [] }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereals-industrial-uses", "type": "prominent-link", "title": "Share of cereals allocated to industrial uses (e.g. biofuels)", "description": "", "parseErrors": [] } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "text": [ { "text": "Livestock waste a lot of energy and protein, but do produce more nutrient-dense protein sources", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "type": "heading", "level": 2, "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Cereals fed to animals are not wasted: they are converted to meat and dairy, and consumed by humans in the end. But, in terms of calories and ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "total", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": " protein, this process is very inefficient. [", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "What\u2019s true is that animals do produce high-quality, micronutrient-rich protein \u2013 see the box on this below", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": "].{ref}Tilman, D., & Clark, M. (2014). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/nature13959", "children": [ { "text": "Global diets link environmental sustainability and human health", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Nature", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "515", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": "(7528), 518-522.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "text": "Shepon, A., Eshel, G., Noor, E., & Milo, R. (2016). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/105002", "children": [ { "text": "Energy and protein feed-to-food conversion efficiencies in the US and potential food security gains from dietary changes", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ".\u00a0", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Environmental Research Letters", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ",\u00a0", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "11", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": "(10), 105002.{/ref} When you feed an animal, not all of this energy goes into producing additional meat, milk or eggs. Most is used to simply keep the animal alive. This is exactly the same for us: most of the calories we eat are used to keep us alive and maintain our body weight. It\u2019s only when we eat in excess that we gain weight.\u00a0", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "In the charts here we see the energy and protein efficiency of different animal products.{ref}This is shown as the average conversion efficiency. It can vary a bit depending on the breed of livestock, what they\u2019re fed, and how they\u2019re managed. But the overall magnitudes are similar.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Alexander, P., Brown, C., Arneth, A., Finnigan, J., & Rounsevell, M. D. (2016). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016302370", "children": [ { "text": "Human appropriation of land for food: The role of diet", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "Global Environmental Change", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "41", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", 88-98.{/ref} This tells us what percentage of the calories or grams of protein that we feed livestock are later available to consume as meat and dairy. As an example: beef has an energy efficiency of about 2%. This means that for every 100 kilocalories you feed a cow, you only get 2 kilocalories of beef back. In general we see that cows are the least efficient, followed by lamb, pigs then poultry. As a rule of thumb: smaller animals are more efficient. That\u2019s why chicken and fish tend to have a lower environmental impact.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "This is why eating less meat would mean eliminating large losses of calories and thereby reduce the amount of farmland we need. This would free up billions of hectares for natural vegetation, forests and ecosystems to return.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "left": [ { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/energy-efficiency-of-meat-and-dairy-production", "type": "chart", "parseErrors": [] } ], "type": "sticky-right", "right": [ { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/protein-efficiency-of-meat-and-dairy-production?country=Whole%20Milk~Lamb%2Fmutton~Beef~Poultry~Pork~Eggs", "type": "chart", "parseErrors": [] } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "gray-section", "items": [ { "text": [ { "text": "Additional information", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "type": "heading", "level": 2, "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "expandable-paragraph", "items": [ { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "As we\u2019ve seen above, animals lose a lot of energy and total protein when converting this to meat and dairy products.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "But we also need to consider protein ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "quality", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": " and provision of micronutrients \u2013 essential vitamins and minerals we need to function well. Some, but not all, plant-based products contain high-quality protein. Legumes, such as beans, peas, tofu and other soy products do. Cereals, on their own, don\u2019t \u2013 although a complete protein profile can be achieved when mixing them with legumes in your diet.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Cereals are great at providing energy, and some protein but they\u2019re missing many essential elements. They are a low-quality protein source. Protein is made up of building blocks called \u2018amino acids\u2019 \u2013 we need to make sure we\u2019re getting enough of each of these individual amino acids.{ref}World Health Organization, & United Nations University. (2007). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/43411/WHO_TRS_935_eng.pdf?ua=1", "children": [ { "children": [ { "text": "Protein and amino acid requirements in human nutrition", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": " (Vol. 935)", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". World Health Organization.{/ref} Cereals have an \u2018incomplete\u2019 amino acid profile meaning they are lacking in some of them.{ref}One way of comparing the ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "quality", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": " of different protein sources is using their Protein Digestibility-Corrected Amino Acid Score (PDCAAS). This score looks not only at the total protein they provide but also digestibility, and whether there are particular deficiencies of specific amino acids. Cereals in particular are often limited in the amino acid, lysine. This gives them a low PDCAAS score of 42, compared to beef which achieves 92.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "text": "Schaafsma, G. (2000). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://academic.oup.com/jn/article/130/7/1865S/4686203", "children": [ { "text": "The protein digestibility\u2013corrected amino acid score", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "The Journal of Nutrition", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "130", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": "(7), 1865S-1867S.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "spanType": "span-newline" }, { "text": "Young, V. R., & Pellett, P. L. (1994). ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/8172124/", "children": [ { "text": "Plant proteins in relation to human protein and amino acid nutrition", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "59", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": "(5), 1203S-1212S.{/ref} Cereals also lack a number of important micronutrients, such as calcium, iron and B-vitamins. In fact, vitamin B", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "12", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-subscript" }, { "text": " is one that you can only get from animal products, or from food supplements.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Individual animal products \u2013 meat, dairy, fish, eggs \u2013 do have a complete amino acid profile. Animals are effective in taking energy-dense but low-quality protein cereals, and converting them into high-quality protein sources. The downside is that they waste a lot of energy and total protein in the process.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "The key point is that in switching to a vegan diet we cannot simply divert cereals from animal feed to human food. For proper nutrition, we will have to change the types of crops we grow. 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", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "The Journal of Nutrition", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": ", ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "children": [ { "text": "130", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" }, { "text": "(7), 1865S-1867S.{/ref}", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "There is also a lot of potential to mimic the animal conversion process in the lab \u2013 either through lab-grown meat or fermentation processes that make meat substitutes. These would allow us to reap the benefits of converting carbohydrates and sugars into high-quality protein without all of the waste that comes with it.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] } ], "parseErrors": [] } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "text": [ { "children": [ { "text": "More of our articles on this topic...", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-italic" } ], "type": "heading", "level": 3, "parseErrors": [] }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/food-ghg-emissions", "type": "prominent-link", "title": "Food production is responsible for one-quarter of the world\u2019s greenhouse gas emissions", "description": "", "parseErrors": [] }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/food-choice-vs-eating-local", "type": "prominent-link", "title": "You want to reduce the carbon footprint of your food? 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This large reduction of agricultural land use would be possible thanks to a reduction in land used for grazing and a smaller need for land to grow crops.", "sidebar-toc": false, "featured-image": "Land-use-different-diets-thumbnail.png" }, "createdAt": "2021-03-04T06:43:28.000Z", "published": false, "updatedAt": "2022-07-12T11:46:17.000Z", "revisionId": null, "publishedAt": "2021-03-04T12:00:00.000Z", "relatedCharts": [], "publicationContext": "listed" } |
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2021-03-04 12:00:00 | 2024-02-22 11:18:19 | 1yQW1TQkTyK55VMJW38X0sM2o_glHT8mjWkxeovASTgs | [ "Hannah Ritchie" ] |
If everyone shifted to a plant-based diet we would reduce global land use for agriculture by 75%. This large reduction of agricultural land use would be possible thanks to a reduction in land used for grazing and a smaller need for land to grow crops. | 2021-03-04 06:43:28 | 2022-07-12 11:46:17 | https://ourworldindata.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-different-diets-thumbnail.png | {} |
Our World in Data presents the data and research to make progress against the world’s largest problems. This blog post draws on data and research discussed in our entry on **[Environmental impacts of food production](https://ourworldindata.org/environmental-impacts-of-food)**. <Callout title="Summary"/> The expansion of land for agriculture is the leading [driver of deforestation](https://ourworldindata.org/drivers-of-deforestation) and biodiversity loss. [Half](https://ourworldindata.org/global-land-for-agriculture) of the world’s ice- and desert-free land is used for agriculture. Most of this is for raising livestock – the land requirements of meat and dairy production are equivalent to an area the size of the Americas, spanning all the way from Alaska to Tierra del Fuego. The land use of livestock is so large because it takes around 100 times as much land to produce a kilocalorie of beef or lamb versus plant-based alternatives. This is shown in the chart.{ref}This data is based on the global median land use of different food products as presented in Poore and Nemecek (2018). This meta-analysis looked at the environmental impacts of foods covering 38,000 farms in 119 countries. For some foods there is significant variability from the median land use depending on how it is produced. We look at these differences **[here](https://ourworldindata.org/environmental-impacts-of-food#distribution-of-land-use-for-foods)**. Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). [Reducing food’s environmental impacts through producers and consumers](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987). _Science_, _360_(6392), 987-992.{/ref} The same is [also true for protein](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-protein-poore) – it takes almost 100 times as much land to produce a gram of protein from beef or lamb, versus peas or tofu. Of course the _type_ of land used to raise cows or sheep is not the same as cropland for cereals, potatoes or beans. Livestock can be raised on pasture grasslands, or on steep hills where it is not possible to grow crops. Two-thirds of pastures are unsuitable for growing crops.{ref}An estimated 65% of land used for grass for grazing cattle is not suitable for growing crops. Mottet, A., de Haan, C., Falcucci, A., Tempio, G., Opio, C., & Gerber, P. (2017). [Livestock: on our plates or eating at our table? A new analysis of the feed/food debate](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211912416300013). _Global Food Security_, _14_, 1-8. Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). [Reducing food’s environmental impacts through producers and consumers](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987). _Science_, _360_(6392), 987-992.{/ref} This raises the question of whether we could, or should, stop using it for agriculture at all. We could let natural vegetation and ecosystems return to these lands, with large benefits for biodiversity and carbon sequestration.{ref}Hayek, M. N., Harwatt, H., Ripple, W. J., & Mueller, N. D. (2020). [The carbon opportunity cost of animal-sourced food production on land](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00603-4). _Nature Sustainability_, 1-4.{/ref} In an upcoming article we will look at the carbon opportunity costs of using land for agriculture. One concern is whether we would be able to grow enough food for everyone on the cropland that is left. The research suggests that it’s possible to feed everyone in the world a nutritious diet on existing croplands, but only if we saw a widespread shift towards plant-based diets. <Chart url="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-kcal-poore"/> ##### Related charts: ### Land use of foods <em>per</em> <em>100 grams of protein</em> https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-protein-poore ### Land use of foods <em>per</em> <em>kilogram</em> https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-per-kg-poore ## More plant-based diets tend to need less cropland If we would shift towards a more plant-based diet we don’t only need less agricultural land overall, we also need less _cropland_. This might go against our intuition: if we substitute beans, peas, tofu and cereals for meat and dairy, surely we would need more cropland to grow them? Let’s look at why this is not the case. In the chart here we see the amount of agricultural land the world would need to provide food for everyone. This comes from the work of Joseph Poore and Thomas Nemecek, the largest meta-analysis of global food systems to date.{ref}Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). [Reducing food’s environmental impacts through producers and consumers](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987). _Science_, _360_(6392), 987-992.{/ref} The top bar shows the current land use based on the global average diet in 2010. As we see, almost three-quarters of this land is used as pasture, the remaining quarter is cropland.{ref}Note that this breakdown of agricultural land use differs slightly from the breakdown of global land use from the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) for a few reasons. First, this view only includes cropland and pasture used to produce food. Allocation of crops towards industrial uses e.g. biofuels is not included. In UN FAO breakdowns, it is included. Secondly, the amount of land that qualifies as ‘pasture’ depends on definitions surrounding livestock density and other aspects of land management. The extent of ‘rangelands’ – land used to raise livestock but at a relatively low density – can vary from study-to-study. So, while the UN FAO data suggests 50% of habitable land is used for agriculture, Poore and Nemecek (2018) put this figure at 43%.{/ref} If we combine pastures and cropland for animal feed, around 80% of all agricultural land is used for meat and dairy production. This has a large impact on how land requirements change as we shift towards a more plant-based diet. If the world population ate less meat and dairy we would be eating more crops. The consequence – as the following bar chart shows – would be that the ‘human food’ component of cropland would increase while the land area used for animal feed would shrink.{ref}This data is sourced from the meta-analysis study by Joseph Poore and Thomas Nemecek (2018), published in _Science_. Many other studies have looked at this question and found exactly the same result: that if everyone shifted to a vegan diet, we would need _less_ agricultural land (and cropland) specifically. Hayek, M. N., Harwatt, H., Ripple, W. J., & Mueller, N. D. (2020). [The carbon opportunity cost of animal-sourced food production on land](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00603-4). _Nature Sustainability_, 1-4. Searchinger, T. D., Wirsenius, S., Beringer, T., & Dumas, P. (2018). [Assessing the efficiency of changes in land use for mitigating climate change](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0757-z). _Nature_, _564_(7735), 249-253.{/ref} In the hypothetical scenario in which the entire world adopted a vegan diet the researchers estimate that our total agricultural land use would shrink from 4.1 billion hectares to 1 billion hectares. A reduction of 75%. That’s equal to an area the size of North America and Brazil combined. But importantly large land use reductions would be possible even without a fully vegan diet. Cutting out beef, mutton and dairy makes the biggest difference to agricultural land use as it would free up the land that is used for pastures. But it’s not just pasture; it also reduces the amount of cropland we need. This is an important insight from this research: cutting out beef and dairy (by substituting chicken, eggs, fish or plant-based food) has a _much_ larger impact than eliminating chicken or fish. <Image filename="Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek.png" alt=""/> ## Less than half of the world’s cereals are fed directly to humans How is it possible that producing _more_ crops for human consumption needs _less_ cropland? The answer becomes clear when we step back and look at the bigger picture of how much crop we actually produce, and how this is used. In the chart we see the breakdown of what the world’s cereals are used for. This is split into three categories: direct human food (the rice, oats, wheat, bread etc. that we eat); animal feed; and industrial uses (which is mainly biofuels). Less than half – only 48% – of the world’s cereals are eaten by humans. 41% is used for animal feed, and 11% for biofuels. In many countries, the share that is for human consumption is even smaller. We see this in the map. In most countries across Europe it’s less than one-third of cereal production is used for human consumption, and in the US only 10% is.{ref}There is a strong rich-poor [split across countries](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cereals-human-food-vs-gdp): people in poorer countries [get most of their calories](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-of-energy-from-cereals-roots-and-tubers-vs-gdp-per-capita) from cereals as they cannot afford much meat and dairy. This means they cannot afford to divert cereals towards livestock or biofuels. In India, 93% of cereals are consumed by humans; 95% in Kenya; and 96% in Botswana.{/ref} It’s not just cereals that are diverted towards animal feed and biofuels. It’s also true of many oilcrops. As we look at in more detail [**here**](https://ourworldindata.org/soy#more-than-three-quarters-of-global-soy-is-fed-to-animals), only 7% of soy goes towards human foods such as tofu, tempeh, soy milk and other substitute products. Most of the rest goes towards oil production which is split between soybean meal for animal feed and soybean oil. These are co-products, although by economic value, animal feed dominates. <Chart url="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cereal-distribution-to-uses?tab=chart&stackMode=relative®ion=World"/> <Chart url="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereal-human-food?stackMode=absolute®ion=World"/> ##### Related charts: ### Share of cereals allocated to animal feed https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereals-animal-feed ### Share of cereals allocated to industrial uses (e.g. biofuels) https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereals-industrial-uses ## Livestock waste a lot of energy and protein, but do produce more nutrient-dense protein sources Cereals fed to animals are not wasted: they are converted to meat and dairy, and consumed by humans in the end. But, in terms of calories and _total_ protein, this process is very inefficient. [_What’s true is that animals do produce high-quality, micronutrient-rich protein – see the box on this below_].{ref}Tilman, D., & Clark, M. (2014). [Global diets link environmental sustainability and human health](https://www.nature.com/articles/nature13959). _Nature_, _515_(7528), 518-522. Shepon, A., Eshel, G., Noor, E., & Milo, R. (2016). [Energy and protein feed-to-food conversion efficiencies in the US and potential food security gains from dietary changes](https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/105002). _Environmental Research Letters_, _11_(10), 105002.{/ref} When you feed an animal, not all of this energy goes into producing additional meat, milk or eggs. Most is used to simply keep the animal alive. This is exactly the same for us: most of the calories we eat are used to keep us alive and maintain our body weight. It’s only when we eat in excess that we gain weight. In the charts here we see the energy and protein efficiency of different animal products.{ref}This is shown as the average conversion efficiency. It can vary a bit depending on the breed of livestock, what they’re fed, and how they’re managed. But the overall magnitudes are similar. Alexander, P., Brown, C., Arneth, A., Finnigan, J., & Rounsevell, M. D. (2016). [Human appropriation of land for food: The role of diet](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016302370). _Global Environmental Change_, _41_, 88-98.{/ref} This tells us what percentage of the calories or grams of protein that we feed livestock are later available to consume as meat and dairy. As an example: beef has an energy efficiency of about 2%. This means that for every 100 kilocalories you feed a cow, you only get 2 kilocalories of beef back. In general we see that cows are the least efficient, followed by lamb, pigs then poultry. As a rule of thumb: smaller animals are more efficient. That’s why chicken and fish tend to have a lower environmental impact. This is why eating less meat would mean eliminating large losses of calories and thereby reduce the amount of farmland we need. This would free up billions of hectares for natural vegetation, forests and ecosystems to return. <Chart url="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/energy-efficiency-of-meat-and-dairy-production"/> <Chart url="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/protein-efficiency-of-meat-and-dairy-production?country=Whole%20Milk~Lamb%2Fmutton~Beef~Poultry~Pork~Eggs"/> ## Additional information As we’ve seen above, animals lose a lot of energy and total protein when converting this to meat and dairy products. But we also need to consider protein _quality_ and provision of micronutrients – essential vitamins and minerals we need to function well. Some, but not all, plant-based products contain high-quality protein. Legumes, such as beans, peas, tofu and other soy products do. Cereals, on their own, don’t – although a complete protein profile can be achieved when mixing them with legumes in your diet. Cereals are great at providing energy, and some protein but they’re missing many essential elements. They are a low-quality protein source. Protein is made up of building blocks called ‘amino acids’ – we need to make sure we’re getting enough of each of these individual amino acids.{ref}World Health Organization, & United Nations University. (2007). [_Protein and amino acid requirements in human nutrition_ (Vol. 935)](https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/43411/WHO_TRS_935_eng.pdf?ua=1). World Health Organization.{/ref} Cereals have an ‘incomplete’ amino acid profile meaning they are lacking in some of them.{ref}One way of comparing the _quality_ of different protein sources is using their Protein Digestibility-Corrected Amino Acid Score (PDCAAS). This score looks not only at the total protein they provide but also digestibility, and whether there are particular deficiencies of specific amino acids. Cereals in particular are often limited in the amino acid, lysine. This gives them a low PDCAAS score of 42, compared to beef which achieves 92. Schaafsma, G. (2000). [The protein digestibility–corrected amino acid score](https://academic.oup.com/jn/article/130/7/1865S/4686203). _The Journal of Nutrition_, _130_(7), 1865S-1867S. Young, V. R., & Pellett, P. L. (1994). [Plant proteins in relation to human protein and amino acid nutrition](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/8172124/). _The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition_, _59_(5), 1203S-1212S.{/ref} Cereals also lack a number of important micronutrients, such as calcium, iron and B-vitamins. In fact, vitamin B12 is one that you can only get from animal products, or from food supplements. Individual animal products – meat, dairy, fish, eggs – do have a complete amino acid profile. Animals are effective in taking energy-dense but low-quality protein cereals, and converting them into high-quality protein sources. The downside is that they waste a lot of energy and total protein in the process. The key point is that in switching to a vegan diet we cannot simply divert cereals from animal feed to human food. For proper nutrition, we will have to change the types of crops we grow. Not all crops provide low-quality protein – legumes such as peas, beans, lentils and products such as tofu have a good amino acid profile; when mixed with cereals in a person’s diet, it’s possible to get the full range of essential elements.{ref}As we noted earlier, protein quality can be scored in terms of its Protein Digestibility-Corrected Amino Acid Score (PDCAAS). Soy achieves a PDCAAS of 0.92, comparable to beef at 0.94. Schaafsma, G. (2000). [The protein digestibility–corrected amino acid score](https://academic.oup.com/jn/article/130/7/1865S/4686203). _The Journal of Nutrition_, _130_(7), 1865S-1867S.{/ref} There is also a lot of potential to mimic the animal conversion process in the lab – either through lab-grown meat or fermentation processes that make meat substitutes. These would allow us to reap the benefits of converting carbohydrates and sugars into high-quality protein without all of the waste that comes with it. ### _More of our articles on this topic..._ ### Food production is responsible for one-quarter of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions https://ourworldindata.org/food-ghg-emissions ### You want to reduce the carbon footprint of your food? Focus on what you eat, not whether your food is local https://ourworldindata.org/food-choice-vs-eating-local ### How does the carbon footprint of foods compare across the world? https://ourworldindata.org/less-meat-or-sustainable-meat | { "id": 41311, "date": "2021-03-04T12:00:00", "guid": { "rendered": "https://owid.cloud/?p=41311" }, "link": "https://owid.cloud/land-use-diets", "meta": { "owid_publication_context_meta_field": { "latest": true, "homepage": true, "immediate_newsletter": true } }, "slug": "land-use-diets", "tags": [], "type": "post", "title": { "rendered": "If the world adopted a plant-based diet we would reduce global agricultural land use from 4 to 1 billion hectares" }, "_links": { "self": [ { "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/posts/41311" } ], "about": [ { "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/types/post" } ], "author": [ { "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/users/17", "embeddable": true } ], "curies": [ { "href": "https://api.w.org/{rel}", "name": "wp", "templated": true } ], "replies": [ { "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/comments?post=41311", "embeddable": true } ], "wp:term": [ { "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/categories?post=41311", "taxonomy": "category", "embeddable": true }, { "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/tags?post=41311", "taxonomy": "post_tag", "embeddable": true } ], "collection": [ { "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/posts" } ], "wp:attachment": [ { "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/media?parent=41311" } ], "version-history": [ { "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/posts/41311/revisions", "count": 9 } ], "wp:featuredmedia": [ { "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/media/41319", "embeddable": true } ], "predecessor-version": [ { "id": 45897, "href": "https://owid.cloud/wp-json/wp/v2/posts/41311/revisions/45897" } ] }, "author": 17, "format": "standard", "status": "publish", "sticky": false, "content": { "rendered": "\n<div class=\"blog-info\">\n<p>Our World in Data presents the data and research to make progress against the world\u2019s largest problems.<br>This blog post draws on data and research discussed in our entry on <strong><a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/environmental-impacts-of-food\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Environmental impacts of food production</a></strong>.</p>\n</div>\n\n\n\t<div class=\"wp-block-owid-summary\">\n\t\t<h2>Summary</h2>\n\t\t\n\n<p>Half of the world\u2019s habitable land is used for agriculture, with most of this used to raise livestock for dairy and meat. Livestock are fed from two sources \u2013 lands on which the animals graze and land on which feeding crops, such as soy and cereals, are grown. How much would our agricultural land use decline if the world adopted a plant-based diet?</p>\n\n\n\n<p>Research suggests that if everyone shifted to a plant-based diet we would reduce global land use for agriculture by 75%. This large reduction of agricultural land use would be possible thanks to a reduction in land used for grazing and a smaller need for land to grow crops. The research also shows that cutting out beef and dairy (by substituting chicken, eggs, fish or plant-based food) has a <em>much</em> larger impact than eliminating chicken or fish.</p>\n\n\n\t</div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<p>The expansion of land for agriculture is the leading <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/drivers-of-deforestation\">driver of deforestation</a> and biodiversity loss.</p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/global-land-for-agriculture\">Half</a> of the world\u2019s ice- and desert-free land is used for agriculture. Most of this is for raising livestock \u2013 the land requirements of meat and dairy production are equivalent to an area the size of the Americas, spanning all the way from Alaska to Tierra del Fuego.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>The land use of livestock is so large because it takes around 100 times as much land to produce a kilocalorie of beef or lamb versus plant-based alternatives. This is shown in the chart.{ref}This data is based on the global median land use of different food products as presented in Poore and Nemecek (2018). This meta-analysis looked at the environmental impacts of foods covering 38,000 farms in 119 countries. For some foods there is significant variability from the median land use depending on how it is produced. We look at these differences <strong><a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/environmental-impacts-of-food#distribution-of-land-use-for-foods\">here</a></strong>.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). <a href=\"https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987\">Reducing food\u2019s environmental impacts through producers and consumers</a>. <em>Science</em>, <em>360</em>(6392), 987-992.{/ref} The same is <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-protein-poore\">also true for protein</a> \u2013 it takes almost 100 times as much land to produce a gram of protein from beef or lamb, versus peas or tofu.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course the <em>type</em> of land used to raise cows or sheep is not the same as cropland for cereals, potatoes or beans. Livestock can be raised on pasture grasslands, or on steep hills where it is not possible to grow crops. Two-thirds of pastures are unsuitable for growing crops.{ref}An estimated 65% of land used for grass for grazing cattle is not suitable for growing crops.<br><br>Mottet, A., de Haan, C., Falcucci, A., Tempio, G., Opio, C., & Gerber, P. (2017). <a href=\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211912416300013\">Livestock: on our plates or eating at our table? A new analysis of the feed/food debate</a>. <em>Global Food Security</em>, <em>14</em>, 1-8.<br><br>Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). <a href=\"https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987\">Reducing food\u2019s environmental impacts through producers and consumers</a>. <em>Science</em>, <em>360</em>(6392), 987-992.{/ref} </p>\n\n\n\n<p>This raises the question of whether we could, or should, stop using it for agriculture at all. We could let natural vegetation and ecosystems return to these lands, with large benefits for biodiversity and carbon sequestration.{ref}Hayek, M. N., Harwatt, H., Ripple, W. J., & Mueller, N. D. (2020). <a href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00603-4\">The carbon opportunity cost of animal-sourced food production on land</a>. <em>Nature Sustainability</em>, 1-4.{/ref} In an upcoming article we will look at the carbon opportunity costs of using land for agriculture.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>One concern is whether we would be able to grow enough food for everyone on the cropland that is left. The research suggests that it\u2019s possible to feed everyone in the world a nutritious diet on existing croplands, but only if we saw a widespread shift towards plant-based diets.</p>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<iframe src=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-kcal-poore\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;\"></iframe>\n\n\n\n<h5>Related charts:</h5>\n\n\n <block type=\"prominent-link\" style=\"is-style-thin\">\n <link-url>https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-protein-poore</link-url>\n <title>Land use of foods <em>per</em> <em>100 grams of protein</em></title>\n <content></content>\n <figure></figure>\n </block>\n\n <block type=\"prominent-link\" style=\"is-style-thin\">\n <link-url>https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/land-use-per-kg-poore</link-url>\n <title>Land use of foods <em>per</em> <em>kilogram</em></title>\n <content></content>\n <figure></figure>\n </block></div>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<h3>More plant-based diets tend to need less cropland</h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<p>If we would shift towards a more plant-based diet we don\u2019t only need less agricultural land overall, we also need less <em>cropland</em>. This might go against our intuition: if we substitute beans, peas, tofu and cereals for meat and dairy, surely we would need more cropland to grow them?</p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s look at why this is not the case. In the chart here we see the amount of agricultural land the world would need to provide food for everyone. This comes from the work of Joseph Poore and Thomas Nemecek, the largest meta-analysis of global food systems to date.{ref}Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. (2018). <a href=\"https://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6392/987\">Reducing food\u2019s environmental impacts through producers and consumers</a>. <em>Science</em>, <em>360</em>(6392), 987-992.{/ref} The top bar shows the current land use based on the global average diet in 2010. </p>\n\n\n\n<p>As we see, almost three-quarters of this land is used as pasture, the remaining quarter is cropland.{ref}Note that this breakdown of agricultural land use differs slightly from the breakdown of global land use from the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) for a few reasons. First, this view only includes cropland and pasture used to produce food. Allocation of crops towards industrial uses e.g. biofuels is not included. In UN FAO breakdowns, it is included. Secondly, the amount of land that qualifies as \u2018pasture\u2019 depends on definitions surrounding livestock density and other aspects of land management. The extent of \u2018rangelands\u2019 \u2013 land used to raise livestock but at a relatively low density \u2013 can vary from study-to-study. So, while the UN FAO data suggests 50% of habitable land is used for agriculture, Poore and Nemecek (2018) put this figure at 43%.{/ref} If we combine pastures and cropland for animal feed, around 80% of all agricultural land is used for meat and dairy production.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>This has a large impact on how land requirements change as we shift towards a more plant-based diet. If the world population ate less meat and dairy we would be eating more crops. The consequence \u2013 as the following bar chart shows \u2013 would be that the \u2018human food\u2019 component of cropland would increase while the land area used for animal feed would shrink.{ref}This data is sourced from the meta-analysis study by Joseph Poore and Thomas Nemecek (2018), published in <em>Science</em>. Many other studies have looked at this question and found exactly the same result: that if everyone shifted to a vegan diet, we would need <em>less</em> agricultural land (and cropland) specifically.<br><br>Hayek, M. N., Harwatt, H., Ripple, W. J., & Mueller, N. D. (2020). <a href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00603-4\">The carbon opportunity cost of animal-sourced food production on land</a>. <em>Nature Sustainability</em>, 1-4.<br><br>Searchinger, T. D., Wirsenius, S., Beringer, T., & Dumas, P. (2018). <a href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0757-z\">Assessing the efficiency of changes in land use for mitigating climate change</a>. <em>Nature</em>, <em>564</em>(7735), 249-253.{/ref}</p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the hypothetical scenario in which the entire world adopted a vegan diet the researchers estimate that our total agricultural land use would shrink from 4.1 billion hectares to 1 billion hectares. A reduction of 75%. That\u2019s equal to an area the size of North America and Brazil combined.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>But importantly large land use reductions would be possible even without a fully vegan diet. Cutting out beef, mutton and dairy makes the biggest difference to agricultural land use as it would free up the land that is used for pastures. But it\u2019s not just pasture; it also reduces the amount of cropland we need.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is an important insight from this research: cutting out beef and dairy (by substituting chicken, eggs, fish or plant-based food) has a <em>much</em> larger impact than eliminating chicken or fish.</p>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2098\" height=\"1290\" src=\"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-41314\" srcset=\"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek.png 2098w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek-400x246.png 400w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek-800x492.png 800w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek-150x92.png 150w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek-768x472.png 768w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek-1536x944.png 1536w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-of-different-diets-Poore-Nemecek-2048x1259.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2098px) 100vw, 2098px\" /></figure>\n</div>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<h3>Less than half of the world\u2019s cereals are fed directly to humans</h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-style-side-by-side\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<p>How is it possible that producing <em>more</em> crops for human consumption needs <em>less</em> cropland? The answer becomes clear when we step back and look at the bigger picture of how much crop we actually produce, and how this is used.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the chart we see the breakdown of what the world\u2019s cereals are used for. This is split into three categories: direct human food (the rice, oats, wheat, bread etc. that we eat); animal feed; and industrial uses (which is mainly biofuels). </p>\n\n\n\n<p>Less than half \u2013 only 48% \u2013 of the world\u2019s cereals are eaten by humans. 41% is used for animal feed, and 11% for biofuels. </p>\n\n\n\n<p>In many countries, the share that is for human consumption is even smaller. We see this in the map. In most countries across Europe it\u2019s less than one-third of cereal production is used for human consumption, and in the US only 10% is.{ref}There is a strong rich-poor <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cereals-human-food-vs-gdp\">split across countries</a>: people in poorer countries <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-of-energy-from-cereals-roots-and-tubers-vs-gdp-per-capita\">get most of their calories</a> from cereals as they cannot afford much meat and dairy. This means they cannot afford to divert cereals towards livestock or biofuels. In India, 93% of cereals are consumed by humans; 95% in Kenya; and 96% in Botswana.{/ref}</p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s not just cereals that are diverted towards animal feed and biofuels. It\u2019s also true of many oilcrops. As we look at in more detail <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/soy#more-than-three-quarters-of-global-soy-is-fed-to-animals\"><strong>here</strong></a>, only 7% of soy goes towards human foods such as tofu, tempeh, soy milk and other substitute products. Most of the rest goes towards oil production which is split between soybean meal for animal feed and soybean oil. These are co-products, although by economic value, animal feed dominates.</p>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"></div>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-style-side-by-side\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<iframe src=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cereal-distribution-to-uses?tab=chart&stackMode=relative&region=World\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;\"></iframe>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<iframe src=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereal-human-food?stackMode=absolute&region=World\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;\"></iframe>\n\n\n\n<h5>Related charts:</h5>\n\n\n <block type=\"prominent-link\" style=\"is-style-thin\">\n <link-url>https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereals-animal-feed</link-url>\n <title>Share of cereals allocated to animal feed</title>\n <content></content>\n <figure></figure>\n </block>\n\n <block type=\"prominent-link\" style=\"is-style-thin\">\n <link-url>https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-cereals-industrial-uses</link-url>\n <title>Share of cereals allocated to industrial uses (e.g. biofuels)</title>\n <content></content>\n <figure></figure>\n </block></div>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<h3>Livestock waste a lot of energy and protein, but do produce more nutrient-dense protein sources</h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-style-side-by-side\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<p>Cereals fed to animals are not wasted: they are converted to meat and dairy, and consumed by humans in the end. But, in terms of calories and <em>total</em> protein, this process is very inefficient. [<em>What\u2019s true is that animals do produce high-quality, micronutrient-rich protein \u2013 see the box on this below</em>].{ref}Tilman, D., & Clark, M. (2014). <a href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/nature13959\">Global diets link environmental sustainability and human health</a>. <em>Nature</em>, <em>515</em>(7528), 518-522.<br><br>Shepon, A., Eshel, G., Noor, E., & Milo, R. (2016). <a href=\"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/105002\">Energy and protein feed-to-food conversion efficiencies in the US and potential food security gains from dietary changes</a>. <em>Environmental Research Letters</em>, <em>11</em>(10), 105002.{/ref} When you feed an animal, not all of this energy goes into producing additional meat, milk or eggs. Most is used to simply keep the animal alive. This is exactly the same for us: most of the calories we eat are used to keep us alive and maintain our body weight. It\u2019s only when we eat in excess that we gain weight. </p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the charts here we see the energy and protein efficiency of different animal products.{ref}This is shown as the average conversion efficiency. It can vary a bit depending on the breed of livestock, what they\u2019re fed, and how they\u2019re managed. But the overall magnitudes are similar.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alexander, P., Brown, C., Arneth, A., Finnigan, J., & Rounsevell, M. D. (2016). <a href=\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016302370\">Human appropriation of land for food: The role of diet</a>. <em>Global Environmental Change</em>, <em>41</em>, 88-98.{/ref} This tells us what percentage of the calories or grams of protein that we feed livestock are later available to consume as meat and dairy. As an example: beef has an energy efficiency of about 2%. This means that for every 100 kilocalories you feed a cow, you only get 2 kilocalories of beef back. In general we see that cows are the least efficient, followed by lamb, pigs then poultry. As a rule of thumb: smaller animals are more efficient. That\u2019s why chicken and fish tend to have a lower environmental impact.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is why eating less meat would mean eliminating large losses of calories and thereby reduce the amount of farmland we need. This would free up billions of hectares for natural vegetation, forests and ecosystems to return.</p>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"></div>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-style-side-by-side\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<iframe src=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/energy-efficiency-of-meat-and-dairy-production\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;\"></iframe>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<iframe src=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/protein-efficiency-of-meat-and-dairy-production?country=Whole%20Milk~Lamb%2Fmutton~Beef~Poultry~Pork~Eggs\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;\"></iframe>\n</div>\n</div>\n\n\n\t<block type=\"additional-information\" default-open=\"false\">\n\t\t<content>\n\n<h3><strong>Livestock convert feed to high-quality, micronutrient-rich protein</strong></h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-style-sticky-right\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\">\n<p>As we\u2019ve seen above, animals lose a lot of energy and total protein when converting this to meat and dairy products.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>But we also need to consider protein <em>quality</em> and provision of micronutrients \u2013 essential vitamins and minerals we need to function well. Some, but not all, plant-based products contain high-quality protein. Legumes, such as beans, peas, tofu and other soy products do. Cereals, on their own, don\u2019t \u2013 although a complete protein profile can be achieved when mixing them with legumes in your diet.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cereals are great at providing energy, and some protein but they\u2019re missing many essential elements. They are a low-quality protein source. Protein is made up of building blocks called \u2018amino acids\u2019 \u2013 we need to make sure we\u2019re getting enough of each of these individual amino acids.{ref}World Health Organization, & United Nations University. (2007). <a href=\"https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/43411/WHO_TRS_935_eng.pdf?ua=1\"><em>Protein and amino acid requirements in human nutrition</em> (Vol. 935)</a>. World Health Organization.{/ref} Cereals have an \u2018incomplete\u2019 amino acid profile meaning they are lacking in some of them.{ref}One way of comparing the <em>quality</em> of different protein sources is using their Protein Digestibility-Corrected Amino Acid Score (PDCAAS). This score looks not only at the total protein they provide but also digestibility, and whether there are particular deficiencies of specific amino acids. Cereals in particular are often limited in the amino acid, lysine. This gives them a low PDCAAS score of 42, compared to beef which achieves 92.<br><br>Schaafsma, G. (2000). <a href=\"https://academic.oup.com/jn/article/130/7/1865S/4686203\">The protein digestibility\u2013corrected amino acid score</a>. <em>The Journal of Nutrition</em>, <em>130</em>(7), 1865S-1867S.<br><br>Young, V. R., & Pellett, P. L. (1994). <a href=\"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/8172124/\">Plant proteins in relation to human protein and amino acid nutrition</a>. <em>The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition</em>, <em>59</em>(5), 1203S-1212S.{/ref} Cereals also lack a number of important micronutrients, such as calcium, iron and B-vitamins. In fact, vitamin B<sub>12</sub> is one that you can only get from animal products, or from food supplements.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>Individual animal products \u2013 meat, dairy, fish, eggs \u2013 do have a complete amino acid profile. Animals are effective in taking energy-dense but low-quality protein cereals, and converting them into high-quality protein sources. The downside is that they waste a lot of energy and total protein in the process.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>The key point is that in switching to a vegan diet we cannot simply divert cereals from animal feed to human food. For proper nutrition, we will have to change the types of crops we grow. Not all crops provide low-quality protein \u2013 legumes such as peas, beans, lentils and products such as tofu have a good amino acid profile; when mixed with cereals in a person\u2019s diet, it\u2019s possible to get the full range of essential elements.{ref}As we noted earlier, protein quality can be scored in terms of its Protein Digestibility-Corrected Amino Acid Score (PDCAAS). Soy achieves a PDCAAS of 0.92, comparable to beef at 0.94.<br><br>Schaafsma, G. (2000). <a href=\"https://academic.oup.com/jn/article/130/7/1865S/4686203\">The protein digestibility\u2013corrected amino acid score</a>. <em>The Journal of Nutrition</em>, <em>130</em>(7), 1865S-1867S.{/ref}</p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is also a lot of potential to mimic the animal conversion process in the lab \u2013 either through lab-grown meat or fermentation processes that make meat substitutes. These would allow us to reap the benefits of converting carbohydrates and sugars into high-quality protein without all of the waste that comes with it.</p>\n</div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"></div>\n</div>\n\n</content>\n\t</block>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"/>\n\n\n\n<h4><em>More of our articles on this topic…</em></h4>\n\n\n <block type=\"prominent-link\" style=\"is-style-thin\">\n <link-url>https://ourworldindata.org/food-ghg-emissions</link-url>\n <title>Food production is responsible for one-quarter of the world\u2019s greenhouse gas emissions</title>\n <content></content>\n <figure><img width=\"768\" height=\"719\" src=\"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/11/How-much-of-GHGs-come-from-food-768x719.png\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/11/How-much-of-GHGs-come-from-food-768x719.png 768w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/11/How-much-of-GHGs-come-from-food-400x374.png 400w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/11/How-much-of-GHGs-come-from-food-588x550.png 588w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/11/How-much-of-GHGs-come-from-food-150x140.png 150w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/11/How-much-of-GHGs-come-from-food-1536x1438.png 1536w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/11/How-much-of-GHGs-come-from-food.png 1624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" /></figure>\n </block>\n\n <block type=\"prominent-link\" style=\"is-style-thin\">\n <link-url>https://ourworldindata.org/food-choice-vs-eating-local</link-url>\n <title>You want to reduce the carbon footprint of your food? Focus on what you eat, not whether your food is local</title>\n <content></content>\n <figure><img width=\"768\" height=\"690\" src=\"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Environmental-impact-of-food-by-life-cycle-stage-768x690.png\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Environmental-impact-of-food-by-life-cycle-stage-768x690.png 768w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Environmental-impact-of-food-by-life-cycle-stage-400x359.png 400w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Environmental-impact-of-food-by-life-cycle-stage-612x550.png 612w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Environmental-impact-of-food-by-life-cycle-stage-150x135.png 150w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Environmental-impact-of-food-by-life-cycle-stage-1536x1380.png 1536w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Environmental-impact-of-food-by-life-cycle-stage-2048x1840.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" /></figure>\n </block>\n\n <block type=\"prominent-link\" style=\"is-style-thin\">\n <link-url>https://ourworldindata.org/less-meat-or-sustainable-meat</link-url>\n <title>How does the carbon footprint of foods compare across the world?</title>\n <content></content>\n <figure><img width=\"768\" height=\"749\" src=\"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Carbon-footprint-of-protein-foods-2-768x749.png\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Carbon-footprint-of-protein-foods-2-768x749.png 768w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Carbon-footprint-of-protein-foods-2-400x390.png 400w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Carbon-footprint-of-protein-foods-2-564x550.png 564w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Carbon-footprint-of-protein-foods-2-150x146.png 150w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Carbon-footprint-of-protein-foods-2-1536x1499.png 1536w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2020/02/Carbon-footprint-of-protein-foods-2-2048x1998.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" /></figure>\n </block>", "protected": false }, "excerpt": { "rendered": "If everyone shifted to a plant-based diet we would reduce global land use for agriculture by 75%. This large reduction of agricultural land use would be possible thanks to a reduction in land used for grazing and a smaller need for land to grow crops.", "protected": false }, "date_gmt": "2021-03-04T12:00:00", "modified": "2022-07-12T12:46:17", "template": "", "categories": [ 1 ], "ping_status": "closed", "authors_name": [ "Hannah Ritchie" ], "modified_gmt": "2022-07-12T11:46:17", "comment_status": "closed", "featured_media": 41319, "featured_media_paths": { "thumbnail": "/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-different-diets-thumbnail-150x79.png", "medium_large": "/app/uploads/2021/03/Land-use-different-diets-thumbnail-768x402.png" } } |