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| 25185 | Has terrorism increased in Western Europe? | untitled-reusable-block-40 | wp_block | publish | <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>When things become increasingly <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/does-the-news-reflect-what-we-die-from">visible in the media</a>, it’s easy to assume that they’re becoming more common – psychologists refer to this phenomenon as the availability heuristic.{ref}This is called the ‘availability heuristic’ which suggests our opinion on a given topic is influenced strongly by recent examples we can recall. This means we can be biased towards events covered recently in the news.{/ref} It can be difficult to separate a rise in attention from a rise in frequency. Increasing attention on terrorism can therefore make it seem like it’s always getting worse. But is this really true? </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Has terrorism in Western Europe been increasing?</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>In this visualization we shown terrorism deaths in Western Europe since 1970. Here we use data from the most comprehensive database to date: the <a href="https://www.start.umd.edu/gtd/">Global Terrorism Database (GTD)</a>. Another useful resource which cross-references well with this database for Western Europe is the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terrorism_in_Europe#Incidents">Wikipedia entry</a>: you can find further context of particular events there.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>The 1970s and 1980s were dominated by ‘The Troubles’ in Northern Ireland. Here we see annual deaths from terrorism in the order of hundreds, and reaching over 400 deaths in some years. The United Kingdom was home to the largest share of deaths for much of the 70s, 80s, and 90s.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>We see quite a marked decline post-1998 with the Good Friday Agreement between British and Irish governments. Since the Millennium the annual death toll has been below 50 deaths in most years, and often below 10. For context, compare that to <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/road-deaths-by-type?country=Western%20Europe">how many people die on the roads</a>: in 2017 around 70 people died <em>every day</em> in road incidents.{ref}The <a href="http://www.healthdata.org/">Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation</a> (IHME) estimates that around 26,000 died in road accidents in Western Europe in 2017. This is approximately 70 people every day [26,000 / 365]. {/ref} Road accidents kill more people in Western Europe every day than terrorism in an average year.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>The year to year changes are nonetheless volatile. Large terrorist attacks – such as the Madrid train bombings in 2004; 2005 London bombings; 2011 Norway attacks; 2015 Paris attacks; the truck attacks in Nice and the Berlin Christmas market attack in 2015; and the Manchester and Barcelona attacks in 2017 – have occurred since the turn of the century.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>This trend is also reflected when we look at the <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/terrorist-incidents?tab=chart&time=1970..2017&country=Western%20Europe">number of terrorist attacks</a>.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>With exception of the 1970s, terrorism data in Western Europe can be hard to see when bundled with other regions. This in itself is an important point: terrorist deaths in Western Europe are very low within the global context.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>During the 1970s Western Europe was home to the most terrorist deaths globally: in many years 70% to 80% of recorded deaths from terrorism. This has changed dramatically since then. In 2017, only 0.3% of terrorism deaths occurred in the region.{ref}According to the Global Terrorism Database there were 26,445 global deaths from terrorism in 2017. For Western Europe the death toll was 83. This means around 0.3% of terrorism deaths occurred in the region [83 / 26,445 * 100 = 0.3%].{/ref}</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Between 2000 and 2017 – over almost two decades – there were just under 1000 deaths in Western Europe from terrorism. This is equal to the death toll of only two to three years during the 1970s. </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:image {"align":"center","id":25184,"sizeSlug":"full"} --> <div class="wp-block-image"><figure class="aligncenter size-full"><img src="https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/10/Terrorism-in-Western-Europe.png" alt="" class="wp-image-25184"/></figure></div> <!-- /wp:image --> | {
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2019-10-03 14:04:00 | 2024-02-16 14:22:56 | [
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2019-10-03 15:04:09 | 2023-05-24 09:43:00 | {} |
When things become increasingly [visible in the media](https://ourworldindata.org/does-the-news-reflect-what-we-die-from), it’s easy to assume that they’re becoming more common – psychologists refer to this phenomenon as the availability heuristic.{ref}This is called the ‘availability heuristic’ which suggests our opinion on a given topic is influenced strongly by recent examples we can recall. This means we can be biased towards events covered recently in the news.{/ref} It can be difficult to separate a rise in attention from a rise in frequency. Increasing attention on terrorism can therefore make it seem like it’s always getting worse. But is this really true? Has terrorism in Western Europe been increasing? In this visualization we shown terrorism deaths in Western Europe since 1970. Here we use data from the most comprehensive database to date: the [Global Terrorism Database (GTD)](https://www.start.umd.edu/gtd/). Another useful resource which cross-references well with this database for Western Europe is the [Wikipedia entry](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terrorism_in_Europe#Incidents): you can find further context of particular events there. The 1970s and 1980s were dominated by ‘The Troubles’ in Northern Ireland. Here we see annual deaths from terrorism in the order of hundreds, and reaching over 400 deaths in some years. The United Kingdom was home to the largest share of deaths for much of the 70s, 80s, and 90s. We see quite a marked decline post-1998 with the Good Friday Agreement between British and Irish governments. Since the Millennium the annual death toll has been below 50 deaths in most years, and often below 10. For context, compare that to [how many people die on the roads](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/road-deaths-by-type?country=Western%20Europe): in 2017 around 70 people died _every day_ in road incidents.{ref}The [Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation](http://www.healthdata.org/) (IHME) estimates that around 26,000 died in road accidents in Western Europe in 2017. This is approximately 70 people every day [26,000 / 365]. {/ref} Road accidents kill more people in Western Europe every day than terrorism in an average year. The year to year changes are nonetheless volatile. Large terrorist attacks – such as the Madrid train bombings in 2004; 2005 London bombings; 2011 Norway attacks; 2015 Paris attacks; the truck attacks in Nice and the Berlin Christmas market attack in 2015; and the Manchester and Barcelona attacks in 2017 – have occurred since the turn of the century. This trend is also reflected when we look at the [number of terrorist attacks](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/terrorist-incidents?tab=chart&time=1970..2017&country=Western%20Europe). With exception of the 1970s, terrorism data in Western Europe can be hard to see when bundled with other regions. This in itself is an important point: terrorist deaths in Western Europe are very low within the global context. During the 1970s Western Europe was home to the most terrorist deaths globally: in many years 70% to 80% of recorded deaths from terrorism. This has changed dramatically since then. In 2017, only 0.3% of terrorism deaths occurred in the region.{ref}According to the Global Terrorism Database there were 26,445 global deaths from terrorism in 2017. For Western Europe the death toll was 83. This means around 0.3% of terrorism deaths occurred in the region [83 / 26,445 * 100 = 0.3%].{/ref} Between 2000 and 2017 – over almost two decades – there were just under 1000 deaths in Western Europe from terrorism. This is equal to the death toll of only two to three years during the 1970s. <Image filename="Terrorism-in-Western-Europe.png" alt=""/> | {
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"content": "\n<p>When things become increasingly <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/does-the-news-reflect-what-we-die-from\">visible in the media</a>, it\u2019s easy to assume that they\u2019re becoming more common \u2013 psychologists refer to this phenomenon as the availability heuristic.{ref}This is called the \u2018availability heuristic\u2019 which suggests our opinion on a given topic is influenced strongly by recent examples we can recall. This means we can be biased towards events covered recently in the news.{/ref} It can be difficult to separate a rise in attention from a rise in frequency. Increasing attention on terrorism can therefore make it seem like it\u2019s always getting worse. But is this really true? </p>\n\n\n\n<p>Has terrorism in Western Europe been increasing?</p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this visualization we shown terrorism deaths in Western Europe since 1970. Here we use data from the most comprehensive database to date: the <a href=\"https://www.start.umd.edu/gtd/\">Global Terrorism Database (GTD)</a>. Another useful resource which cross-references well with this database for Western Europe is the <a href=\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terrorism_in_Europe#Incidents\">Wikipedia entry</a>: you can find further context of particular events there.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 1970s and 1980s were dominated by \u2018The Troubles\u2019 in Northern Ireland. Here we see annual deaths from terrorism in the order of hundreds, and reaching over 400 deaths in some years. The United Kingdom was home to the largest share of deaths for much of the 70s, 80s, and 90s.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>We see quite a marked decline post-1998 with the Good Friday Agreement between British and Irish governments. Since the Millennium the annual death toll has been below 50 deaths in most years, and often below 10. For context, compare that to <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/road-deaths-by-type?country=Western%20Europe\">how many people die on the roads</a>: in 2017 around 70 people died <em>every day</em> in road incidents.{ref}The <a href=\"http://www.healthdata.org/\">Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation</a> (IHME) estimates that around 26,000 died in road accidents in Western Europe in 2017. This is approximately 70 people every day [26,000 / 365]. {/ref} Road accidents kill more people in Western Europe every day than terrorism in an average year.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>The year to year changes are nonetheless volatile. Large terrorist attacks \u2013 such as the Madrid train bombings in 2004; 2005 London bombings; 2011 Norway attacks; 2015 Paris attacks; the truck attacks in Nice and the Berlin Christmas market attack in 2015; and the Manchester and Barcelona attacks in 2017 \u2013 have occurred since the turn of the century.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>This trend is also reflected when we look at the <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/terrorist-incidents?tab=chart&time=1970..2017&country=Western%20Europe\">number of terrorist attacks</a>.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>With exception of the 1970s, terrorism data in Western Europe can be hard to see when bundled with other regions. This in itself is an important point: terrorist deaths in Western Europe are very low within the global context.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>During the 1970s Western Europe was home to the most terrorist deaths globally: in many years 70% to 80% of recorded deaths from terrorism. This has changed dramatically since then. In 2017, only 0.3% of terrorism deaths occurred in the region.{ref}According to the Global Terrorism Database there were 26,445 global deaths from terrorism in 2017. For Western Europe the death toll was 83. This means around 0.3% of terrorism deaths occurred in the region [83 / 26,445 * 100 = 0.3%].{/ref}</p>\n\n\n\n<p>Between 2000 and 2017 \u2013 over almost two decades \u2013 there were just under 1000 deaths in Western Europe from terrorism. This is equal to the death toll of only two to three years during the 1970s. </p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"4374\" height=\"8118\" src=\"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/10/Terrorism-in-Western-Europe.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-25184\" srcset=\"https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/10/Terrorism-in-Western-Europe.png 4374w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/10/Terrorism-in-Western-Europe-81x150.png 81w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/10/Terrorism-in-Western-Europe-216x400.png 216w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/10/Terrorism-in-Western-Europe-768x1425.png 768w, https://owid.cloud/app/uploads/2019/10/Terrorism-in-Western-Europe-296x550.png 296w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 4374px) 100vw, 4374px\" /></figure></div>\n"
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