posts: 24535
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24535 | India will soon overtake China to become the most populous country in the world | untitled-reusable-block-13 | wp_block | publish | <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>China has been the world's most populous country for a long time: back in 1750, it had a population of 225 million, around 28% of the world population.{ref}Population data from Clio Infra estimate's China's population to have been <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-by-country?time=1500..2000&country=CHN+IND">225 million in 1750</a>. The world population at this time was <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/world-population-1750-2015-and-un-projection-until-2100?time=-10000..2100">estimated to be 811 million</a>. China would therefore have accounted for 28% of the world total. In the few centuries prior to the 1700s, China and India <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-by-country?time=1500..2000&country=CHN+IND">had similar population sizes</a> and growth rates.{/ref}</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p> By 2016, China had a population larger than 1.4 billion.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>But China is soon to be overtaken by India. In the chart here we see historic and projected population by country, spanning from 10,000 BCE through to 2100. The projections – made by the UN's Population Division – suggest that by 2024, India will surpass China to become the world's most populous country.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Projections are always associated with a degree of uncertainty and this means the crossing point could be a few years earlier or later. But even within this degree of uncertainty, it's expected that India will become the most populous country within the next decade.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Rapidly declining fertility rates – from an average of just under 6 children down to around 2 children per woman – in India means its population growth has fallen significantly over the last few decades. This means that while it will be the most populous country for the rest of the century, it's expected to reach 'peak population' in the early to mid 2060s at around 1.7 billion before slowly falling in the second half of the century.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:html --> <iframe style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;" src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/projected-population-by-country?country=IND+CHN"></iframe> <!-- /wp:html --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>What does the future population of other countries look like?</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>In the map we see country populations across the world through to the year 2100. By clicking on any country you can see how its population has changed since 1950, and its projections over the 21st century.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:html --> <iframe style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;" src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/UN-population-projection-medium-variant"></iframe> <!-- /wp:html --> | { "id": "wp-24535", "slug": "untitled-reusable-block-13", "content": { "toc": [], "body": [ { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "China has been the world's most populous country for a long time: back in 1750, it had a population of 225 million, around 28% of the world population.{ref}Population data from Clio Infra estimate's China's population to have been ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-by-country?time=1500..2000&country=CHN+IND", "children": [ { "text": "225 million in 1750", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". The world population at this time was ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/world-population-1750-2015-and-un-projection-until-2100?time=-10000..2100", "children": [ { "text": "estimated to be 811 million", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": ". China would therefore have accounted for 28% of the world total. In the few centuries prior to the 1700s, China and India ", "spanType": "span-simple-text" }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-by-country?time=1500..2000&country=CHN+IND", "children": [ { "text": "had similar population sizes", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "spanType": "span-link" }, { "text": " and growth rates.{/ref}", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": " By 2016, China had a population larger than 1.4 billion.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "But China is soon to be overtaken by India. In the chart here we see historic and projected population by country, spanning from 10,000 BCE through to 2100. The projections \u2013 made by the UN's Population Division \u2013 suggest that by 2024, India will surpass China to become the world's most populous country.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Projections are always associated with a degree of uncertainty and this means the crossing point could be a few years earlier or later. But even within this degree of uncertainty, it's expected that India will become the most populous country within the next decade.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "Rapidly declining fertility rates \u2013 from an average of just under 6 children down to around 2 children per woman \u2013 in India means its population growth has fallen significantly over the last few decades. This means that while it will be the most populous country for the rest of the century, it's expected to reach 'peak population' in the early to mid 2060s at around 1.7 billion before slowly falling in the second half of the century.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/projected-population-by-country?country=IND+CHN", "type": "chart", "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "What does the future population of other countries look like?", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "type": "text", "value": [ { "text": "In the map we see country populations across the world through to the year 2100. By clicking on any country you can see how its population has changed since 1950, and its projections over the 21st century.", "spanType": "span-simple-text" } ], "parseErrors": [] }, { "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/UN-population-projection-medium-variant", "type": "chart", "parseErrors": [] } ], "type": "article", "title": "India will soon overtake China to become the most populous country in the world", "authors": [ null ], "dateline": "September 5, 2019", "sidebar-toc": false, "featured-image": "" }, "createdAt": "2019-09-05T15:43:18.000Z", "published": false, "updatedAt": "2022-11-18T11:20:55.000Z", "revisionId": null, "publishedAt": "2019-09-05T14:43:01.000Z", "relatedCharts": [], "publicationContext": "listed" } |
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2019-09-05 14:43:01 | 2024-02-16 14:22:55 | [ null ] |
2019-09-05 15:43:18 | 2022-11-18 11:20:55 | {} |
China has been the world's most populous country for a long time: back in 1750, it had a population of 225 million, around 28% of the world population.{ref}Population data from Clio Infra estimate's China's population to have been [225 million in 1750](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-by-country?time=1500..2000&country=CHN+IND). The world population at this time was [estimated to be 811 million](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/world-population-1750-2015-and-un-projection-until-2100?time=-10000..2100). China would therefore have accounted for 28% of the world total. In the few centuries prior to the 1700s, China and India [had similar population sizes](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-by-country?time=1500..2000&country=CHN+IND) and growth rates.{/ref} By 2016, China had a population larger than 1.4 billion. But China is soon to be overtaken by India. In the chart here we see historic and projected population by country, spanning from 10,000 BCE through to 2100. The projections – made by the UN's Population Division – suggest that by 2024, India will surpass China to become the world's most populous country. Projections are always associated with a degree of uncertainty and this means the crossing point could be a few years earlier or later. But even within this degree of uncertainty, it's expected that India will become the most populous country within the next decade. Rapidly declining fertility rates – from an average of just under 6 children down to around 2 children per woman – in India means its population growth has fallen significantly over the last few decades. This means that while it will be the most populous country for the rest of the century, it's expected to reach 'peak population' in the early to mid 2060s at around 1.7 billion before slowly falling in the second half of the century. <Chart url="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/projected-population-by-country?country=IND+CHN"/> What does the future population of other countries look like? In the map we see country populations across the world through to the year 2100. By clicking on any country you can see how its population has changed since 1950, and its projections over the 21st century. <Chart url="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/UN-population-projection-medium-variant"/> | { "data": { "wpBlock": { "content": "\n<p>China has been the world’s most populous country for a long time: back in 1750, it had a population of 225 million, around 28% of the world population.{ref}Population data from Clio Infra estimate’s China’s population to have been <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-by-country?time=1500..2000&country=CHN+IND\">225 million in 1750</a>. The world population at this time was <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/world-population-1750-2015-and-un-projection-until-2100?time=-10000..2100\">estimated to be 811 million</a>. China would therefore have accounted for 28% of the world total. In the few centuries prior to the 1700s, China and India <a href=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-by-country?time=1500..2000&country=CHN+IND\">had similar population sizes</a> and growth rates.{/ref}</p>\n\n\n\n<p> By 2016, China had a population larger than 1.4 billion.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>But China is soon to be overtaken by India. In the chart here we see historic and projected population by country, spanning from 10,000 BCE through to 2100. The projections \u2013 made by the UN’s Population Division \u2013 suggest that by 2024, India will surpass China to become the world’s most populous country.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>Projections are always associated with a degree of uncertainty and this means the crossing point could be a few years earlier or later. But even within this degree of uncertainty, it’s expected that India will become the most populous country within the next decade.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rapidly declining fertility rates \u2013 from an average of just under 6 children down to around 2 children per woman \u2013 in India means its population growth has fallen significantly over the last few decades. This means that while it will be the most populous country for the rest of the century, it’s expected to reach ‘peak population’ in the early to mid 2060s at around 1.7 billion before slowly falling in the second half of the century.</p>\n\n\n\n<iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;\" src=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/projected-population-by-country?country=IND+CHN\"></iframe>\n\n\n\n<p>What does the future population of other countries look like?</p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the map we see country populations across the world through to the year 2100. By clicking on any country you can see how its population has changed since 1950, and its projections over the 21st century.</p>\n\n\n\n<iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;\" src=\"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/UN-population-projection-medium-variant\"></iframe>\n" } }, "extensions": { "debug": [ { "type": "DEBUG_LOGS_INACTIVE", "message": "GraphQL Debug logging is not active. To see debug logs, GRAPHQL_DEBUG must be enabled." } ] } } |