variables: 471842
Data license: CC-BY
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471842 | Indicator:Estimate of current tobacco smoking prevalence (%) (age-standardized rate) - Sex:Both sexes | % | Rationale: Tobacco use is a major contributor to illness and death from non-communicable diseases (NCDs). There is no proven safe level of tobacco use or of second-hand smoke exposure. All daily and non-daily users of tobacco are at risk of a variety of poor health outcomes across the life-course, including NCDs. Reducing the prevalence of current tobacco use will make a large contribution to reducing premature mortality from NCDs. Routine and regular monitoring of this indicator is necessary to enable accurate monitoring and evaluation of the impact of implementation of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC), or tobacco control policies in the countries that are not yet Parties to the WHO FCTC, over time. Definition: The percentage of the population aged 15 years and over who currently use any smoked tobacco product, as estimated using the method described in the Method of Estimation below. “Current” means either daily or non-daily (occasional) use at the time of the survey. Smoked tobacco products include cigarettes, pipes, cigars, cigarillos, waterpipes (hookah, shisha), bidis, kretek, heated tobacco products, and any other form of smoked tobacco. Smoked tobacco products exclude smokeless (oral and nasal) tobacco products and products that do not contain tobacco, such as electronic nicotine delivery system (ENDS) of which e-cigarettes are a common type, as well as “e-cigars”, “e-hookahs”, JUUL and “e-pipes”. Age-standardization is a method to adjust a country's prevalence rate using the WHO standard population (applied to age-specific prevalence rates) which allows meaningful comparison of rates between countries. Method of estimation: A statistical model based on a Bayesian negative binomial meta-regression is used to model prevalence of current tobacco smoking for each country, separately for men and women. A full description of the method is available as a peer-reviewed article in The Lancet, volume 385, No. 9972, p966–976 (2015). Once the age-and-sex-specific prevalence rates from national surveys were compiled into a dataset, the model was fit to calculate trend estimates from the year 2000 to 2030. The model has two main components: (a) adjusting for missing indicators and age groups, and (b) generating an estimate of trends over time as well as the 95% credible interval around the estimate. Depending on the completeness/comprehensiveness of survey data from a particular country, the model at times makes use of data from other countries to fill information gaps. To fill data gaps, information is “borrowed” from countries in the same UN subregion. The resulting trend lines are used to derive estimates for single years, so that a number can be reported even if the country did not run a survey in that year. In order to make the results comparable between countries, the prevalence rates are age-standardized to the WHO Standard Population. Estimates for countries with irregular surveys or many data gaps will have large uncertainty ranges, and such results should be interpreted with caution. | 2022-08-05 09:45:23 | 2023-06-15 05:05:42 | 2000 - 2025 | 5676 | 26700 | % | {} |
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